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Are you a fox or a hedgehog?

Hi,

This week I reviewed Philip Tetlock’s book Superforecasting. If you liked my review of the Logic of Failure, you’ll probably enjoy this too. There’s more about principle stacks and dealing with uncertainty. But this time with animal metaphors…

If you’d like to read something scary, check out Alvaro de Menard on the pension apocalypse.

And for something more lighthearted to balance that out, check out this video from 1941 in the Outer Hebrides:

Til next week,

Fergus